Abstract:
Tourism has become an essentialsector in developed and developing nations, butcultural
integrity must bepreserved and protected to continueattractingtourists from acrossthe globe.Thus,
studyinghow to maintaincultural sustainabilitywhile simultaneously developingthe tourism
sectorto attract internationalvisitorsis essential. The current study is a valuable addition to the cultural
and tourism literature depicting the critical drivers that all developed and developing nations can
consider for the growth of their tourism sector. The current study utilizes a systematic analysis
approach to project the future role of the central government in sustaining cultural values and
developing tourism to support the rural communities in Indonesia economically. The opinions
of experts were gathered via interviews and a self-administered survey. The questionnaire was
formulated based on the Cross-impact Direct Influence (CDI) matrix. Scenario Wizard software
and MICMAC analysis were employed to analyze the data.The findings of the MICMAC
analysis presented 13 key/important constructs with predominant roles in sustaining cultural values
and developing the Indonesian tourism system in the future. In addition, the Scenario-Wizard
Method identified 35 possible states of the critical constructs that were conceptualized in the
second phase. The results revealed four scenarios with stronger consistencies. Scenario 1 was the
most desirable and had appropriate features to preserveIndonesia's cultural sustainability while
developing the tourism sector. Moreover, this study is novel in methodological terms applying
future study analysis to bring valuable insights.
Keywords:Scenario-based planning,tourism, strategies,historical, cultural, sustainability, Indonesia
